@jolyonPolymarket has seen the probability of Ed Gallrein defeating Massie climb sharply to 90 percent. So far only one county has provided results. The election contest is still quite close. Despite that the market seems convinced of the outcome. It might be that informed parties have access to nonpublic details or aggressive trading is influencing the prices.
Voir la publication d'originePhoto de @jolyon· May 21, 2026· Politics
The focus is on a line graph displaying the results of the KY-04 Republican Primary Winner. The graph shows the percentage of votes for each candidate over time. Ed Galrein is leading with 90.6%, followed by Thomas Massie with 9%, and both Nicole Lee Ethington and Robert Wells Jr. have less than 1%. The graph has a dark background with a blue line representing the leading candidate's percentage. The Polymarket logo is visible in the top right corner, indicating the source of the data.
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Let catch up 😔@jolyonPolymarket has seen the probability of Ed Gallrein defeating Massie climb sharply to 90 percent. So far only one county has provided results. The election contest is still quite close. Despite that the market seems convinced of the outcome. It might be that informed parties have access to nonpublic details or aggressive trading is influencing the prices.
Voir la publication d'originePhoto de @jolyon· May 21, 2026· Politics
The focus is on a line graph displaying the results of the KY-04 Republican Primary Winner. The graph shows the percentage of votes for each candidate over time. Ed Galrein is leading with 90.6%, followed by Thomas Massie with 9%, and both Nicole Lee Ethington and Robert Wells Jr. have less than 1%. The graph has a dark background with a blue line representing the leading candidate's percentage. The Polymarket logo is visible in the top right corner, indicating the source of the data.
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